Special report / Trade exposure

US tariffs: exposure starts with the product

A tariff announcement names a rate. A business needs to know which shipments incur it, how much of the cost it can pass on, and whether an alternative supplier changes the duty. Country averages help frame the question; they cannot price a shipment.

This tracker pairs the latest available trade-openness readings for 184 economies with annual growth and inflation. Each cell keeps its own year. Use it to select countries for closer investigation, then examine their products and trading partners. The table measures macroeconomic context, rather than a tariff-caused loss of output.

Read the product rules, the country context and the assumptions behind a cost estimate together.

The mechanics · worked example

A 10% duty can mean 2% of the basket

An illustrative import basket shows why the product rate and the average charge answer different questions.

Total customs value$1,000,000
$200,000×10%=$20,000

2%extra duty as a share of the entire basket

The affected products still incur 10%. The illustration assumes the other $800,000 is exempt from this additional charge; it is not a current tariff schedule.

SOTW illustrative calculation$1 million basket · ordinary duties excluded
Economies with trade data
184
Latest available reading for each
Common-year comparison
2025
138 economies in this chart’s comparison pool
What is measured
All partners
Goods and services · imports + exports
Cross-border activity

Trade can be several times domestic output

The ten highest trade-to-GDP readings among economies reporting for 2025. This is openness to all trading partners, rather than a ranking of US tariff exposure.

Exports + imports of goods and services / GDP (%)

  1. 396.6%
  2. 349.9%
  3. 320.3%
  4. 240.0%
  5. 219.0%
  6. 206.3%
  7. 190.3%
  8. 189.5%
  9. 172.3%
  10. 170.3%

Bars share a linear scale starting at zero.

Ratios above 100% can reflect re-exports and imported inputs. They do not mean that more than all domestic income is exposed to a tariff.

The policy record: July 2026 changed the baseline

  1. Temporary surcharge begins

    The February proclamation imposes a 10% Section 122 surcharge, subject to exemptions.

  2. Section 301 action announced

    USTR publishes the final action covering 60 partners, with product and country conditions.

  3. Section 122 end date

    The historical surcharge’s specified end date. Its old baseline is not used as a current country rate here.

The February 20 proclamation imposed a temporary 10% Section 122 import surcharge for February 24 through July 24, 2026, with exemptions. Its end date has passed. Treat that proclamation as a historical policy record. Read the proclamation.

USTR announced a final Section 301 action on July 23 covering 60 trading partners, with additional rates of 10% or 12.5% and product exemptions. Final action · Fact sheet. CBP implementation guidance details USMCA exemptions and the treatment of ordinary duties for certain partners. A single country rate omits these conditions.

Editorial review: October 13, 2026. The dated action above is the policy record reviewed for this article; this page does not maintain a complete, continuously updated tariff schedule. For an entry date and product code, check the USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule and CBP implementation guidance, including Chapter 99 and exemptions.

Three different questions behind an “effective rate”

A product rate is the duty applicable to a classified import under the rules for its origin and entry date. A collected effective rate divides duties collected by the customs value of the selected imports. A modelled rate applies a policy schedule to an assumed import basket. A collected rate can fall as buyers shift to exempt products even while an unchanged shipment still faces the same duty.

Consider a hypothetical $1 million import basket. If $800,000 qualifies for an exemption and $200,000 faces an additional 10% duty, the extra duty is $20,000: 2% of the basket. The affected goods still face 10%. This illustration excludes ordinary duties and other measures; it demonstrates why a low average does not guarantee a low charge for an individual supplier.

A change in growth after a tariff announcement is also not an estimate of its effect. Energy prices, exchange rates, interest rates and domestic demand move at the same time. Establishing causation requires a comparison with what would have happened without the policy, with the assumptions stated.

Country context: trade openness, growth and prices

Trade openness is exports plus imports of goods and services with all partners, divided by GDP. It is neither the share exported to the US nor a measure of goods covered by US tariffs. Re-exports and imported inputs help explain ratios above 100%. World Bank definition.

Latest reading for each economy, ordered by trade openness. Dates can differ across rows and columns; no tariff-impact ranking is calculated.
EconomyTrade (% of GDP)Real GDP growthAnnual-average CPI inflation
Hong Kong396.6%20253.8%2026 (IMF projection)1.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Luxembourg349.9%20251.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.0%2026 (IMF projection)
San Marino341.0%20231.3%2026 (IMF projection)2.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Singapore320.3%20255.0%2026 (IMF projection)2.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Ireland240.0%2025-1.0%2026 (IMF projection)3.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Malta219.0%20254.2%2026 (IMF projection)2.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Djibouti206.3%20255.6%2026 (IMF projection)2.3%2026 (IMF projection)
U.S. Virgin Islands205.6%2022Not reportedNot reported
United Arab Emirates199.0%2023-3.9%2026 (IMF projection)4.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Vietnam190.3%20258.4%2026 (IMF projection)4.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Cyprus189.5%20252.9%2026 (IMF projection)3.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Seychelles172.3%20251.0%2026 (IMF projection)0.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Slovakia170.3%20250.8%2026 (IMF projection)3.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Nauru165.4%20252.1%2026 (IMF projection)5.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Aruba164.1%20243.7%2026 (IMF projection)1.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Bahrain157.5%2024-11.3%2026 (IMF projection)2.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Maldives156.5%20241.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Estonia155.8%20252.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Lesotho154.0%20251.1%2026 (IMF projection)4.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Belgium152.9%20250.7%2026 (IMF projection)3.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Slovenia151.9%20253.2%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Netherlands150.1%20251.5%2026 (IMF projection)2.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Switzerland147.2%20251.9%2026 (IMF projection)0.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Lithuania142.1%20252.7%2026 (IMF projection)5.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Hungary140.8%20251.9%2026 (IMF projection)1.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Mauritius139.9%20252.7%2026 (IMF projection)4.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Macao139.1%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)1.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Thailand138.4%20252.1%2026 (IMF projection)2.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Libya137.7%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)14.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Malaysia136.4%20255.2%2026 (IMF projection)2.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Cambodia136.1%20253.0%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
North Macedonia133.0%20253.5%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Mongolia130.7%20256.2%2026 (IMF projection)11.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Latvia129.7%20252.3%2026 (IMF projection)3.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Denmark129.2%20253.7%2026 (IMF projection)1.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Somalia128.1%20252.3%2026 (IMF projection)6.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Czechia128.0%20251.8%2026 (IMF projection)2.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Cuba124.9%2024Not reportedNot reported
American Samoa124.7%2022Not reportedNot reported
Brunei123.6%20251.9%2026 (IMF projection)0.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Fiji119.0%20241.9%2026 (IMF projection)4.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Antigua and Barbuda118.3%20222.4%2026 (IMF projection)3.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Kosovo118.2%2025Not reportedNot reported
Marshall Islands115.9%20253.0%2026 (IMF projection)8.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Oman114.9%20244.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Serbia112.9%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)3.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Belarus112.1%20251.9%2026 (IMF projection)5.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Solomon Islands111.4%20242.7%2026 (IMF projection)5.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Belize109.0%20241.9%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Namibia108.6%20252.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Eswatini107.5%20243.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Austria107.0%20250.6%2026 (IMF projection)3.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Palau105.8%20244.3%2026 (IMF projection)1.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Montenegro105.8%20253.0%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Faroe Islands105.8%2024Not reportedNot reported
Cayman Islands105.5%2020Not reportedNot reported
Sweden104.3%20252.5%2026 (IMF projection)1.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Guinea103.7%20257.2%2026 (IMF projection)6.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Bulgaria102.5%20252.6%2026 (IMF projection)4.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Kiribati102.1%20243.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Armenia101.7%20255.5%2026 (IMF projection)4.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Tunisia101.4%20252.4%2026 (IMF projection)5.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Croatia101.0%20252.2%2026 (IMF projection)4.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Georgia100.6%20257.2%2026 (IMF projection)5.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Qatar100.2%2022-15.6%2026 (IMF projection)3.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Mozambique97.1%20251.0%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Poland97.0%20253.4%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Nicaragua96.4%20253.8%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Timor-Leste95.4%20244.0%2026 (IMF projection)2.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Cabo Verde95.3%20255.0%2026 (IMF projection)1.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Bosnia and Herzegovina95.1%20252.3%2026 (IMF projection)5.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Mauritania94.0%20254.4%2026 (IMF projection)8.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Kuwait94.0%2024-16.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Northern Mariana Islands93.2%2022Not reportedNot reported
Morocco93.1%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)0.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Micronesia93.1%20251.4%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Moldova92.7%20251.5%2026 (IMF projection)7.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Kyrgyzstan92.4%20259.0%2026 (IMF projection)12.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Greenland91.9%2023Not reportedNot reported
Republic of the Congo91.7%20253.5%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Honduras91.5%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Puerto Rico90.5%2025-0.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.1%2026 (IMF projection)
El Salvador88.2%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)2.7%2026 (IMF projection)
DR Congo87.3%20255.2%2026 (IMF projection)4.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Portugal86.4%20252.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
South Korea86.4%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)2.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Gabon84.9%20253.0%2026 (IMF projection)0.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Afghanistan83.8%20241.5%20253.6%2025
Panama83.7%20245.0%2026 (IMF projection)1.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Greece83.5%20251.8%2026 (IMF projection)4.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Finland83.4%20251.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Iceland82.5%20251.4%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Lebanon82.2%20244.0%202514.6%2025
Bermuda80.2%2024Not reportedNot reported
Mexico79.9%20251.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Azerbaijan79.8%20251.7%2026 (IMF projection)5.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Albania79.5%20253.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Bhutan79.4%20247.0%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Bahamas79.2%20242.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Norway79.1%20251.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Germany78.5%20251.3%2026 (IMF projection)2.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Tonga77.6%20241.8%2026 (IMF projection)3.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Ukraine77.2%20251.0%2026 (IMF projection)8.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Iraq77.1%2024-16.0%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Paraguay76.5%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Romania76.2%2025-0.5%2026 (IMF projection)8.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Equatorial Guinea74.9%2025-1.7%2026 (IMF projection)3.3%2026 (IMF projection)
West Bank and Gaza74.8%2025Not reportedNot reported
Vanuatu73.4%20243.5%2026 (IMF projection)2.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Guam71.9%2022Not reportedNot reported
Costa Rica71.5%20253.3%2026 (IMF projection)-0.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Senegal71.1%20256.7%20251.4%2025
Samoa70.6%20250.4%2026 (IMF projection)1.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Botswana69.5%20254.4%2026 (IMF projection)7.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Spain69.5%20252.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Ghana69.0%20245.7%2026 (IMF projection)4.8%2026 (IMF projection)
France67.2%20250.4%2026 (IMF projection)2.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Philippines66.8%20253.4%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Burkina Faso65.0%20254.4%2026 (IMF projection)2.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Chile65.0%20250.6%2026 (IMF projection)3.7%2026 (IMF projection)
French Polynesia64.5%2024Not reportedNot reported
Canada63.5%20251.1%2026 (IMF projection)2.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Zambia62.5%20245.6%2026 (IMF projection)8.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Italy62.5%20250.8%2026 (IMF projection)3.3%2026 (IMF projection)
United Kingdom62.5%20251.3%2026 (IMF projection)3.3%2026 (IMF projection)
The Gambia62.2%20255.1%2026 (IMF projection)7.0%2026 (IMF projection)
South Africa60.9%20251.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Iran60.2%2025-7.6%2026 (IMF projection)78.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Togo59.9%20235.0%2026 (IMF projection)1.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Ecuador59.4%20252.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Tajikistan59.1%20247.3%2026 (IMF projection)4.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Saudi Arabia57.9%2025-3.3%2026 (IMF projection)1.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Uzbekistan57.4%20257.8%2026 (IMF projection)6.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Kazakhstan57.2%20244.4%2026 (IMF projection)10.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Rwanda56.7%20257.4%2026 (IMF projection)12.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Côte d'Ivoire54.6%20256.0%2026 (IMF projection)2.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Madagascar54.2%20253.8%2026 (IMF projection)8.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Israel53.0%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)1.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Central African Republic52.9%20252.7%2026 (IMF projection)3.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Peru51.8%20253.0%2026 (IMF projection)3.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Dominican Republic51.5%20254.6%2026 (IMF projection)5.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Egypt51.3%20255.1%2026 (IMF projection)13.3%2026 (IMF projection)
New Zealand50.7%20242.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Uganda50.2%20256.2%2026 (IMF projection)4.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Türkiye49.9%20252.7%2026 (IMF projection)31.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Uruguay49.7%20251.3%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Sierra Leone49.1%20254.0%2026 (IMF projection)13.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Mali48.8%20255.5%2026 (IMF projection)3.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Bolivia47.0%2024-3.0%2026 (IMF projection)12.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Sao Tome and Principe46.6%20250.4%2026 (IMF projection)11.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Guatemala46.5%20254.0%2026 (IMF projection)3.0%2026 (IMF projection)
India46.3%20257.0%2026 (IMF projection)5.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Chad46.1%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)-0.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Australia45.9%20251.9%2026 (IMF projection)3.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Japan44.9%20240.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Indonesia43.4%20255.1%2026 (IMF projection)3.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Nepal42.6%20253.6%2026 (IMF projection)3.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Sri Lanka41.8%20254.0%2026 (IMF projection)5.3%2026 (IMF projection)
Zimbabwe41.5%20245.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Comoros40.9%20252.9%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Guinea-Bissau40.9%20254.7%2026 (IMF projection)2.5%2026 (IMF projection)
New Caledonia40.4%2024Not reportedNot reported
Malawi39.4%20252.6%2026 (IMF projection)21.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Algeria39.0%20253.8%2026 (IMF projection)6.2%2026 (IMF projection)
Tanzania39.0%20256.0%2026 (IMF projection)4.0%2026 (IMF projection)
China38.0%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)1.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Kenya37.5%20254.5%2026 (IMF projection)6.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Benin37.1%20257.0%2026 (IMF projection)0.8%2026 (IMF projection)
Syria35.4%2022Not reportedNot reported
Colombia35.4%20252.2%2026 (IMF projection)6.0%2026 (IMF projection)
Brazil35.3%20252.2%2026 (IMF projection)4.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Angola34.6%20254.4%2026 (IMF projection)10.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Niger33.9%20257.0%2026 (IMF projection)-1.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Russia33.7%20250.9%2026 (IMF projection)6.1%2026 (IMF projection)
Ethiopia33.5%20259.2%2026 (IMF projection)11.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Cameroon33.4%20253.2%2026 (IMF projection)3.4%2026 (IMF projection)
Argentina30.4%20252.1%2026 (IMF projection)32.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Turkmenistan28.2%20252.4%2026 (IMF projection)5.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Bangladesh28.0%20253.6%2026 (IMF projection)8.7%2026 (IMF projection)
Pakistan27.2%20253.6%2026 (IMF projection)7.1%2026 (IMF projection)
United States25.0%20242.3%2026 (IMF projection)3.6%2026 (IMF projection)
Venezuela25.0%20255.0%2026 (IMF projection)467.9%2026 (IMF projection)
Haiti15.9%2025-1.7%2026 (IMF projection)21.5%2026 (IMF projection)
Sudan2.4%20257.0%2026 (IMF projection)41.3%2026 (IMF projection)

Trade figures come from the World Bank; growth and annual-average CPI inflation come from the IMF WEO. Current-year and future IMF readings carry the site’s projection label. This latest-reading table does not retain the provider release or the original per-value actual/estimate marker; earlier years may also be estimates. Missing figures remain missing.

Build an exposure assessment that can guide a decision

For a sourcing decision, start with product codes, customs origin, entry date, import value and the exemption evidence. Apply the relevant duty rules to each line and aggregate using the value weights. Keep the chosen tariff schedule and assumptions with the result so another analyst can reproduce it.

For a country comparison, add goods exports to the US as a share of total goods exports, the affected product mix, and the domestic value added in those exports. An export hub can have high gross trade and a much smaller amount of domestic income at risk. The openness table identifies where cross-border activity matters; those additional measures identify the channel through which a US policy can matter.

For a company margin scenario, test who pays. An importer that cannot raise selling prices absorbs the duty; a supplier may accept a lower price; customers may switch products. A 10% border duty does not translate automatically into 10% consumer inflation. State the assumed pass-through, exchange rate and substitution response before presenting a revenue or cost estimate.

Compare selected economies · Inspect source differences · Definitions and methodology

Use this data in your own work

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Trade (% of GDP) · all countries · CSV
curl "https://statisticsoftheworld.com/api/v1/rankings/NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS?format=csv"
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