Prediction Markets

The percentage shown is the market's implied probability — the crowd's best estimate of the outcome happening. A market at 73% means traders collectively believe there's a 73% chance of "Yes."

Volume

Total dollars traded on this market. Higher volume = more attention and generally more reliable pricing. Markets with $1M+ volume are considered highly reliable signals.

Liquidity

Money available in the order book. Higher liquidity means prices are harder to manipulate and more trustworthy as probability estimates.

Data from Polymarket via Gamma API. Prediction markets reflect crowd consensus, not certainty. Not financial advice.

Prediction Markets

Central Banks & Rates

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Recession & Growth

US recession by end of 2026?

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?

Will world GDP growth be 3.6% in 2026?

Inflation & Prices

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?

Elections & Politics

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Geopolitics & Conflict

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Trade & Tariffs

USMCA extended in 2026?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?

Crypto & Markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Global Events

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in August?

How to read prediction markets