Private Credit-to-GDP Gap (Quarterly): United States

The latest reading SOTW holds for United States is -11.32 percentage points of GDP for 2026-Q1, from Bank for International Settlements.

Reviewed series · Credit & Debt · Quarterly · percentage points of GDP · BIS.CREDIT.GAP.Q · USA

Published private credit-to-GDP ratio minus its one-sided Hodrick-Prescott-filtered long-run trend. Displayed in percentage points of GDP, not a percentage growth rate. BIS gaps can differ from national authorities' countercyclical-buffer gaps. This statistical measure alone is not a crisis prediction or investment recommendation. BIS statistics are freely sourced and their inclusion must not result in any additional charge to users. BIS attribution is required; resale is not permitted by SOTW's rights policy. Collection time is not the original publication timestamp. Source dimensions, unit multipliers, confidentiality and observation flags are retained. Terms: https://data.bis.org/help/legal

This is a reviewed series. Open it in the interactive economic data explorer to choose dates, compare countries and see its source evidence and recorded history.

Latest
-11.32
percentage points of GDP · 2026-Q1
Previous
-11.59
percentage points of GDP · 2025-Q4
Earliest held
4.56
percentage points of GDP · 2000-Q1
Readings shown
105
Every reading SOTW holds

United States · history

percentage points of GDP · Quarterly

Source: Bank for International Settlements. Viewer read 2026-11-12T11:51:37.676Z (UTC); publisher acquisition and release times are not supplied here. Original units; no interpolation, rebasing or conversion. Missing periods and stored U/B flags interrupt the line. Daily gaps can include non-business days.

Readings, newest first

Private Credit-to-GDP Gap (Quarterly): United States: 105 readings, newest first. Source: Bank for International Settlements.
PeriodValue (percentage points of GDP)
2026-Q1-11.32
2025-Q4-11.59
2025-Q3-12.00
2025-Q2-12.36
2025-Q1-12.60
2024-Q4-12.46
2024-Q3-11.20
2024-Q2-11.26
2024-Q1-11.01
2023-Q4-10.64
2023-Q3-9.83
2023-Q2-8.74
2023-Q1-7.62
2022-Q4-6.21
2022-Q3-4.91
2022-Q2-3.34
2022-Q1-2.24
2021-Q4-0.99
2021-Q30.43
2021-Q22.31
2021-Q14.52
2020-Q44.58
2020-Q33.63
2020-Q22.88
2020-Q1-2.64
2019-Q4-5.81
2019-Q3-5.54
2019-Q2-5.88
2019-Q1-6.34
2018-Q4-6.50
2018-Q3-6.83
2018-Q2-6.55
2018-Q1-7.45
2017-Q4-6.84
2017-Q3-7.76
2017-Q2-8.11
2017-Q1-9.03
2016-Q4-9.62
2016-Q3-9.47
2016-Q2-10.64
2016-Q1-11.66
2015-Q4-12.73
2015-Q3-12.93
2015-Q2-13.71
2015-Q1-14.91
2014-Q4-14.74
2014-Q3-15.40
2014-Q2-15.09
2014-Q1-15.27
2013-Q4-15.57
2013-Q3-16.04
2013-Q2-16.46
2013-Q1-16.93
2012-Q4-16.16
2012-Q3-16.20
2012-Q2-16.09
2012-Q1-15.35
2011-Q4-13.98
2011-Q3-13.30
2011-Q2-12.53
2011-Q1-11.17
2010-Q4-9.43
2010-Q3-6.97
2010-Q2-4.52
2010-Q1-1.41
2009-Q41.24
2009-Q33.67
2009-Q24.80
2009-Q15.23
2008-Q46.68
2008-Q39.13
2008-Q29.59
2008-Q111.10
2007-Q411.63
2007-Q311.64
2007-Q211.22
2007-Q19.97
2006-Q410.11
2006-Q39.71
2006-Q29.55
2006-Q18.77
2005-Q48.17
2005-Q37.87
2005-Q27.68
2005-Q17.14
2004-Q48.01
2004-Q37.16
2004-Q27.23
2004-Q17.22
2003-Q47.75
2003-Q38.54
2003-Q28.78
2003-Q17.30
2002-Q47.69
2002-Q37.12
2002-Q26.91
2002-Q16.51
2001-Q46.67
2001-Q36.44
2001-Q25.14
2001-Q13.67
2000-Q44.65
2000-Q34.77
2000-Q24.83
2000-Q14.56

Source: Bank for International Settlements. All 105 readings held, 2000-Q1 to 2026-Q1. n/a means the source value is missing or withheld.

More

Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Credit-to-GDP gaps, https://data.bis.org/topics/CREDIT_GAPS. BIS statistics provided free of any additional charge; no BIS endorsement or affiliation is implied.

Licence: bis-terms-no-charge. Available for public reading; resale has not been cleared. Publisher page: https://data.bis.org/topics/CREDIT_GAPS