Private Credit-to-GDP Gap (Quarterly): United States
The latest reading SOTW holds for United States is -11.32 percentage points of GDP for 2026-Q1, from Bank for International Settlements.
Reviewed series · Credit & Debt · Quarterly · percentage points of GDP · BIS.CREDIT.GAP.Q · USA
Published private credit-to-GDP ratio minus its one-sided Hodrick-Prescott-filtered long-run trend. Displayed in percentage points of GDP, not a percentage growth rate. BIS gaps can differ from national authorities' countercyclical-buffer gaps. This statistical measure alone is not a crisis prediction or investment recommendation. BIS statistics are freely sourced and their inclusion must not result in any additional charge to users. BIS attribution is required; resale is not permitted by SOTW's rights policy. Collection time is not the original publication timestamp. Source dimensions, unit multipliers, confidentiality and observation flags are retained. Terms: https://data.bis.org/help/legal
This is a reviewed series. Open it in the interactive economic data explorer to choose dates, compare countries and see its source evidence and recorded history.
- Latest
- -11.32
- percentage points of GDP · 2026-Q1
- Previous
- -11.59
- percentage points of GDP · 2025-Q4
- Earliest held
- 4.56
- percentage points of GDP · 2000-Q1
- Readings shown
- 105
- Every reading SOTW holds
United States · history
percentage points of GDP · Quarterly
Readings, newest first
| Period | Value (percentage points of GDP) |
|---|---|
| 2026-Q1 | -11.32 |
| 2025-Q4 | -11.59 |
| 2025-Q3 | -12.00 |
| 2025-Q2 | -12.36 |
| 2025-Q1 | -12.60 |
| 2024-Q4 | -12.46 |
| 2024-Q3 | -11.20 |
| 2024-Q2 | -11.26 |
| 2024-Q1 | -11.01 |
| 2023-Q4 | -10.64 |
| 2023-Q3 | -9.83 |
| 2023-Q2 | -8.74 |
| 2023-Q1 | -7.62 |
| 2022-Q4 | -6.21 |
| 2022-Q3 | -4.91 |
| 2022-Q2 | -3.34 |
| 2022-Q1 | -2.24 |
| 2021-Q4 | -0.99 |
| 2021-Q3 | 0.43 |
| 2021-Q2 | 2.31 |
| 2021-Q1 | 4.52 |
| 2020-Q4 | 4.58 |
| 2020-Q3 | 3.63 |
| 2020-Q2 | 2.88 |
| 2020-Q1 | -2.64 |
| 2019-Q4 | -5.81 |
| 2019-Q3 | -5.54 |
| 2019-Q2 | -5.88 |
| 2019-Q1 | -6.34 |
| 2018-Q4 | -6.50 |
| 2018-Q3 | -6.83 |
| 2018-Q2 | -6.55 |
| 2018-Q1 | -7.45 |
| 2017-Q4 | -6.84 |
| 2017-Q3 | -7.76 |
| 2017-Q2 | -8.11 |
| 2017-Q1 | -9.03 |
| 2016-Q4 | -9.62 |
| 2016-Q3 | -9.47 |
| 2016-Q2 | -10.64 |
| 2016-Q1 | -11.66 |
| 2015-Q4 | -12.73 |
| 2015-Q3 | -12.93 |
| 2015-Q2 | -13.71 |
| 2015-Q1 | -14.91 |
| 2014-Q4 | -14.74 |
| 2014-Q3 | -15.40 |
| 2014-Q2 | -15.09 |
| 2014-Q1 | -15.27 |
| 2013-Q4 | -15.57 |
| 2013-Q3 | -16.04 |
| 2013-Q2 | -16.46 |
| 2013-Q1 | -16.93 |
| 2012-Q4 | -16.16 |
| 2012-Q3 | -16.20 |
| 2012-Q2 | -16.09 |
| 2012-Q1 | -15.35 |
| 2011-Q4 | -13.98 |
| 2011-Q3 | -13.30 |
| 2011-Q2 | -12.53 |
| 2011-Q1 | -11.17 |
| 2010-Q4 | -9.43 |
| 2010-Q3 | -6.97 |
| 2010-Q2 | -4.52 |
| 2010-Q1 | -1.41 |
| 2009-Q4 | 1.24 |
| 2009-Q3 | 3.67 |
| 2009-Q2 | 4.80 |
| 2009-Q1 | 5.23 |
| 2008-Q4 | 6.68 |
| 2008-Q3 | 9.13 |
| 2008-Q2 | 9.59 |
| 2008-Q1 | 11.10 |
| 2007-Q4 | 11.63 |
| 2007-Q3 | 11.64 |
| 2007-Q2 | 11.22 |
| 2007-Q1 | 9.97 |
| 2006-Q4 | 10.11 |
| 2006-Q3 | 9.71 |
| 2006-Q2 | 9.55 |
| 2006-Q1 | 8.77 |
| 2005-Q4 | 8.17 |
| 2005-Q3 | 7.87 |
| 2005-Q2 | 7.68 |
| 2005-Q1 | 7.14 |
| 2004-Q4 | 8.01 |
| 2004-Q3 | 7.16 |
| 2004-Q2 | 7.23 |
| 2004-Q1 | 7.22 |
| 2003-Q4 | 7.75 |
| 2003-Q3 | 8.54 |
| 2003-Q2 | 8.78 |
| 2003-Q1 | 7.30 |
| 2002-Q4 | 7.69 |
| 2002-Q3 | 7.12 |
| 2002-Q2 | 6.91 |
| 2002-Q1 | 6.51 |
| 2001-Q4 | 6.67 |
| 2001-Q3 | 6.44 |
| 2001-Q2 | 5.14 |
| 2001-Q1 | 3.67 |
| 2000-Q4 | 4.65 |
| 2000-Q3 | 4.77 |
| 2000-Q2 | 4.83 |
| 2000-Q1 | 4.56 |
Source: Bank for International Settlements. All 105 readings held, 2000-Q1 to 2026-Q1. n/a means the source value is missing or withheld.