IMF Forecast Changes
218 countries. 337 country indicators from IMF, World Bank, and WHO, plus separate live market feeds.
What changed in the IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook
Compared with its April 2026 round, the IMF cut its 2026 growth forecast for 79 of 188 countries and raised it for 83, leaving 26 unchanged. The median change was 0 percentage points. For 2027, it cut 74 and raised 75. Its 2026 inflation forecast went up for 107 countries and down for 66.
The largest changes often mean a recovery or a shock has moved from one year to another rather than that the outlook itself changed. Each country's forecast page shows every year side by side.
Biggest cuts to 2026 growth
- Kuwait-0.6% to -16.7%, -16.1 pp
- Bahrain-0.5% to -11.3%, -10.8 pp
- Iraq-6.8% to -16%, -9.2 pp
- United Arab Emirates3.1% to -3.9%, -7 pp
- Qatar-8.6% to -15.6%, -7 pp
- Saudi Arabia3.1% to -3.3%, -6.4 pp
- Ireland2.5% to -1%, -3.5 pp
- Libya6.7% to 3.3%, -3.4 pp
Biggest upgrades to 2026 growth
- South Sudan4.1% to 10.5%, +6.4 pp
- Sudan0.7% to 7%, +6.3 pp
- Guyana16.2% to 22.3%, +6.1 pp
- Kyrgyzstan6.1% to 9%, +2.9 pp
- Angola2.3% to 4.4%, +2.1 pp
- Georgia5.3% to 7.2%, +1.9 pp
- Denmark2% to 3.7%, +1.7 pp
- Singapore3.5% to 5%, +1.5 pp
Biggest upward revisions to 2026 inflation
- Venezuela387.4% to 467.9%, +80.5 pp
- South Sudan14% to 27.6%, +13.6 pp
- Iran68.9% to 78.6%, +9.7 pp
- Rwanda5.6% to 12.3%, +6.7 pp
- Sierra Leone7.5% to 13.8%, +6.3 pp
- Mauritania4.1% to 8%, +3.9 pp
- Libya10.5% to 14.1%, +3.6 pp
- Mongolia7.4% to 11%, +3.6 pp
Biggest downward revisions to 2026 inflation
The G20 economies
| Country | Growth 2026 | Growth 2027 | Inflation 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 2.3% to 2.3% 0 pp | 2.1% to 2.3% +0.2 pp | 3.2% to 3.6% +0.4 pp |
| China | 4.4% to 4.5% +0.1 pp | 4% to 4% 0 pp | 1.2% to 1% -0.2 pp |
| Japan | 0.7% to 0.7% 0 pp | 0.6% to 0.7% +0.1 pp | 2.2% to 2% -0.2 pp |
| Germany | 0.8% to 1.3% +0.5 pp | 1.2% to 1.1% -0.1 pp | 2.7% to 2.7% 0 pp |
| India | 6.5% to 7% +0.5 pp | 6.5% to 7% +0.5 pp | 4.7% to 5% +0.3 pp |
| United Kingdom | 0.8% to 1.3% +0.5 pp | 1.3% to 1.2% -0.1 pp | 3.2% to 3.3% +0.1 pp |
| France | 0.9% to 0.4% -0.5 pp | 0.9% to 0.7% -0.2 pp | 1.8% to 2.4% +0.6 pp |
| Italy | 0.5% to 0.8% +0.3 pp | 0.5% to 0.6% +0.1 pp | 2.6% to 3.3% +0.7 pp |
| Canada | 1.5% to 1.1% -0.4 pp | 1.9% to 1.7% -0.2 pp | 2.5% to 2.8% +0.3 pp |
| Brazil | 1.9% to 2.2% +0.3 pp | 2% to 1.9% -0.1 pp | 4% to 4.4% +0.4 pp |
| Russia | 1.1% to 0.9% -0.2 pp | 1.1% to 0.9% -0.2 pp | 5.6% to 6.1% +0.5 pp |
| South Korea | 1.9% to 3.3% +1.4 pp | 2.1% to 2.8% +0.7 pp | 2.5% to 2.7% +0.2 pp |
| Australia | 2% to 1.9% -0.1 pp | 1.7% to 1.6% -0.1 pp | 4% to 3.9% -0.1 pp |
| Mexico | 1.6% to 1.5% -0.1 pp | 2.2% to 1.8% -0.4 pp | 3.9% to 3.8% -0.1 pp |
| Indonesia | 5% to 5.1% +0.1 pp | 5.1% to 5.1% 0 pp | 3% to 3.3% +0.3 pp |
| Saudi Arabia | 3.1% to -3.3% -6.4 pp | 4.5% to 7.9% +3.4 pp | 2.3% to 1.9% -0.4 pp |
| Türkiye | 3.4% to 2.7% -0.7 pp | 3.5% to 3.6% +0.1 pp | 28.6% to 31.2% +2.6 pp |
| Argentina | 3.5% to 2.1% -1.4 pp | 4% to 3.5% -0.5 pp | 30.4% to 32.5% +2.1 pp |
| South Africa | 1% to 1% 0 pp | 1.3% to 1.3% 0 pp | 3.9% to 4.4% +0.5 pp |
Every country: April 2026 to October 2026
Forecasts in percent; changes in percentage points. Click a column to sort; growth columns start with the biggest cuts.
 Kuwait | -0.6 to -16.7 -16.1 | 2.8 to 17.1 +14.3 | 2.8 to 2.2 -0.6 |
 Bahrain | -0.5 to -11.3 -10.8 | 4.5 to 13.9 +9.4 | 2.4 to 2.2 -0.2 |
 Iraq | -6.8 to -16 -9.2 | 11.3 to 19 +7.7 | 3 to 3.5 +0.5 |
 United Arab Emirates | 3.1 to -3.9 -7 | 5.3 to 7.7 +2.4 | 2.5 to 4.5 +2 |
 Qatar | -8.6 to -15.6 -7 | 8.6 to 18.8 +10.2 | 3.9 to 3.6 -0.3 |
 Saudi Arabia | 3.1 to -3.3 -6.4 | 4.5 to 7.9 +3.4 | 2.3 to 1.9 -0.4 |
 Ireland | 2.5 to -1 -3.5 | 2.4 to 3.7 +1.3 | 3.1 to 3.4 +0.3 |
 Libya | 6.7 to 3.3 -3.4 | 4.5 to 2.9 -1.6 | 10.5 to 14.1 +3.6 |
 Sao Tome and Principe | 3.4 to 0.4 -3 | 3.9 to 1.9 -2 | 9.6 to 11 +1.4 |
 Samoa | 3.2 to 0.4 -2.8 | 2.8 to 1.7 -1.1 | 2.5 to 1.4 -1.1 |
 Maldives | 3 to 1 -2 | 4.6 to 3.8 -0.8 | 3 to 4 +1 |
 Yemen | 0.5 to -1.5 -2 | not in both rounds | 26.5 to 5 -21.5 |
 Chile | 2.4 to 0.6 -1.8 | 2.6 to 2.6 0 | 2.9 to 3.7 +0.8 |
 Guinea | 8.7 to 7.2 -1.5 | 9.3 to 7.8 -1.5 | 4.1 to 6.3 +2.2 |
 Iran | -6.1 to -7.6 -1.5 | 3.2 to 3.6 +0.4 | 68.9 to 78.6 +9.7 |
 Argentina | 3.5 to 2.1 -1.4 | 4 to 3.5 -0.5 | 30.4 to 32.5 +2.1 |
 Uganda | 7.5 to 6.2 -1.3 | 8.2 to 9.9 +1.7 | 4 to 4.2 +0.2 |
 Comoros | 4.1 to 2.9 -1.2 | 4.1 to 3.1 -1 | 3.7 to 4 +0.3 |
 Romania | 0.7 to -0.5 -1.2 | 2.5 to 2.2 -0.3 | 7.8 to 8.2 +0.4 |
 Bangladesh | 4.7 to 3.6 -1.1 | 4.3 to 3.2 -1.1 | 9.2 to 8.7 -0.5 |
 Cambodia | 4 to 3 -1 | 4.7 to 4 -0.7 | 3 to 5.6 +2.6 |
 Myanmar | 3 to 2 -1 | 3 to 2 -1 | 19 to 20 +1 |
 Ukraine | 2 to 1 -1 | 3.5 to 3.5 0 | 6.1 to 8.9 +2.8 |
 St. Lucia | 2 to 1.2 -0.8 | 1.7 to 1.8 +0.1 | 2.5 to 2.9 +0.4 |
 Barbados | 2.5 to 1.8 -0.7 | 2.2 to 2.2 0 | 2.3 to 2.6 +0.3 |
 Brunei | 2.6 to 1.9 -0.7 | 2.6 to 1.3 -1.3 | 1.6 to 0.8 -0.8 |
 DR Congo | 5.9 to 5.2 -0.7 | 5.4 to 5.7 +0.3 | 3.3 to 4.3 +1 |
 Marshall Islands | 3.7 to 3 -0.7 | 2 to 2.2 +0.2 | 7.4 to 8.6 +1.2 |
 Mauritius | 3.4 to 2.7 -0.7 | 3.4 to 3.2 -0.2 | 3.7 to 4.7 +1 |
 Philippines | 4.1 to 3.4 -0.7 | 5.8 to 5.1 -0.7 | 4.3 to 5.6 +1.3 |
 Papua New Guinea | 3.8 to 3.1 -0.7 | 3.8 to 4 +0.2 | 5 to 4.8 -0.2 |
 Chad | 5.2 to 4.5 -0.7 | 4.9 to 5.4 +0.5 | 0.5 to -0.7 -1.2 |
 Türkiye | 3.4 to 2.7 -0.7 | 3.5 to 3.6 +0.1 | 28.6 to 31.2 +2.6 |
 St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 3 to 2.3 -0.7 | 2.7 to 2.4 -0.3 | 0.9 to 2.7 +1.8 |
 Trinidad and Tobago | 0.8 to 0.2 -0.6 | 3 to 2.2 -0.8 | 1.8 to 0.8 -1 |
 Azerbaijan | 2.2 to 1.7 -0.5 | 2.5 to 2.3 -0.2 | 6 to 5.8 -0.2 |
 Burkina Faso | 4.9 to 4.4 -0.5 | 4.8 to 4.8 0 | 1.5 to 2.1 +0.6 |
 Bhutan | 7.5 to 7 -0.5 | 6.3 to 6.9 +0.6 | 4 to 5.6 +1.6 |
 Fiji | 2.4 to 1.9 -0.5 | 2.7 to 2.3 -0.4 | 2.2 to 4.2 +2 |
 France | 0.9 to 0.4 -0.5 | 0.9 to 0.7 -0.2 | 1.8 to 2.4 +0.6 |
 Iceland | 1.9 to 1.4 -0.5 | 2.1 to 1.8 -0.3 | 4.8 to 5.6 +0.8 |
 Luxembourg | 1.6 to 1.1 -0.5 | 1.7 to 1.6 -0.1 | 2.1 to 3 +0.9 |
 Sierra Leone | 4.5 to 4 -0.5 | 4.7 to 4.4 -0.3 | 7.5 to 13.8 +6.3 |
 Seychelles | 1.5 to 1 -0.5 | 4 to 4 0 | 2.6 to 0.9 -1.7 |
 Tonga | 2.3 to 1.8 -0.5 | 1.3 to 1.9 +0.6 | 3.8 to 3.8 0 |
 Uruguay | 1.8 to 1.3 -0.5 | 2.6 to 2.4 -0.2 | 4 to 4 0 |
 Canada | 1.5 to 1.1 -0.4 | 1.9 to 1.7 -0.2 | 2.5 to 2.8 +0.3 |
 Czechia | 2.2 to 1.8 -0.4 | 2.2 to 1.9 -0.3 | 2.4 to 2.1 -0.3 |
 Djibouti | 6 to 5.6 -0.4 | 6 to 5 -1 | 1.5 to 2.3 +0.8 |
 Croatia | 2.6 to 2.2 -0.4 | 2.6 to 2.3 -0.3 | 4.4 to 4.5 +0.1 |
 Morocco | 4.9 to 4.5 -0.4 | 4.5 to 4.2 -0.3 | 1.3 to 0.9 -0.4 |
 Moldova | 1.9 to 1.5 -0.4 | 3.2 to 2.3 -0.9 | 6.4 to 7.4 +1 |
 Namibia | 2.4 to 2 -0.4 | 2.7 to 2.7 0 | 3.9 to 4.1 +0.2 |
 Belize | 2.2 to 1.9 -0.3 | 2.1 to 2 -0.1 | 1.5 to 3.5 +2 |
 Botswana | 4.7 to 4.4 -0.3 | 2.2 to 2.2 0 | 5.1 to 7.2 +2.1 |
 Costa Rica | 3.6 to 3.3 -0.3 | 3.6 to 3.5 -0.1 | -0.4 to -0.8 -0.4 |
 Somalia | 2.6 to 2.3 -0.3 | 3.1 to 2.7 -0.4 | 5.9 to 6.3 +0.4 |
 Eswatini | 4 to 3.7 -0.3 | 3.5 to 3.4 -0.1 | 3.5 to 2.9 -0.6 |
 Andorra | 2.1 to 1.9 -0.2 | 1.8 to 1.7 -0.1 | 3 to 4 +1 |
 Antigua and Barbuda | 2.6 to 2.4 -0.2 | 2.4 to 2.5 +0.1 | 2.6 to 3.6 +1 |
 Burundi | 3.8 to 3.6 -0.2 | 4.2 to 4.7 +0.5 | 14.5 to 10.5 -4 |
 Bulgaria | 2.8 to 2.6 -0.2 | 2.5 to 2.7 +0.2 | 3.8 to 4.9 +1.1 |
 Côte d'Ivoire | 6.2 to 6 -0.2 | 6.3 to 6.1 -0.2 | 1.8 to 2.2 +0.4 |
 Guinea-Bissau | 4.9 to 4.7 -0.2 | 4.9 to 4.9 0 | 2.5 to 2.5 0 |
 Kazakhstan | 4.6 to 4.4 -0.2 | 4.4 to 4.9 +0.5 | 10.7 to 10.3 -0.4 |
 St. Kitts and Nevis | 2 to 1.8 -0.2 | 2.5 to 2.3 -0.2 | 2.2 to 3.6 +1.4 |
 Lithuania | 2.9 to 2.7 -0.2 | 2.2 to 2.1 -0.1 | 4 to 5.4 +1.4 |
 Russia | 1.1 to 0.9 -0.2 | 1.1 to 0.9 -0.2 | 5.6 to 6.1 +0.5 |
 Turkmenistan | 2.6 to 2.4 -0.2 | 2 to 2.5 +0.5 | 3.9 to 5.6 +1.7 |
 Australia | 2 to 1.9 -0.1 | 1.7 to 1.6 -0.1 | 4 to 3.9 -0.1 |
 Austria | 0.7 to 0.6 -0.1 | 1 to 0.9 -0.1 | 2.5 to 3.1 +0.6 |
 Cameroon | 3.3 to 3.2 -0.1 | 3.8 to 3.6 -0.2 | 3.5 to 3.4 -0.1 |
 Colombia | 2.3 to 2.2 -0.1 | 2.5 to 2.3 -0.2 | 5.9 to 6 +0.1 |
 Cyprus | 3 to 2.9 -0.1 | 3 to 3.2 +0.2 | 2.6 to 3.7 +1.1 |
 Kiribati | 3.1 to 3 -0.1 | 2.4 to 2.5 +0.1 | 4.5 to 4.5 0 |
 Mexico | 1.6 to 1.5 -0.1 | 2.2 to 1.8 -0.4 | 3.9 to 3.8 -0.1 |
 New Zealand | 2.1 to 2 -0.1 | 2.4 to 2.6 +0.2 | 3.1 to 4.1 +1 |
 Solomon Islands | 2.8 to 2.7 -0.1 | 2.9 to 2.8 -0.1 | 3.2 to 5.1 +1.9 |
 Timor-Leste | 4.1 to 4 -0.1 | 3.8 to 3.7 -0.1 | 2.1 to 2.1 0 |
 Belgium | 0.7 to 0.7 0 | 1.1 to 1.1 0 | 2.8 to 3.8 +1 |
 Benin | 7 to 7 0 | 6.7 to 6.8 +0.1 | 2 to 0.8 -1.2 |
 Dominica | 3.1 to 3.1 0 | 2.8 to 2.8 0 | 3 to 2.7 -0.3 |
 Algeria | 3.8 to 3.8 0 | 2.9 to 3.2 +0.3 | 2.9 to 6.2 +3.3 |
 Ethiopia | 9.2 to 9.2 0 | 7.9 to 7.8 -0.1 | 11.8 to 11.7 -0.1 |
 The Gambia | 5.1 to 5.1 0 | 5 to 5.1 +0.1 | 5.8 to 7 +1.2 |
 Greece | 1.8 to 1.8 0 | 1.7 to 1.8 +0.1 | 3.5 to 4.2 +0.7 |
 Honduras | 3.3 to 3.3 0 | 3.7 to 3.4 -0.3 | 4.4 to 5.6 +1.2 |
 Haiti | -1.7 to -1.7 0 | 0.5 to -0.5 -1 | 23.5 to 21.5 -2 |
 Jordan | 2.7 to 2.7 0 | 3.1 to 3.1 0 | 2.3 to 2.5 +0.2 |
 Japan | 0.7 to 0.7 0 | 0.6 to 0.7 +0.1 | 2.2 to 2 -0.2 |
 Kenya | 4.5 to 4.5 0 | 4.7 to 4.7 0 | 5.9 to 6 +0.1 |
 Lesotho | 1.1 to 1.1 0 | 0.8 to 0.8 0 | 4.2 to 4.6 +0.4 |
 Mali | 5.5 to 5.5 0 | 5.7 to 5.7 0 | 2.2 to 3 +0.8 |
 Mauritania | 4.4 to 4.4 0 | 4.5 to 4.4 -0.1 | 4.1 to 8 +3.9 |
 Nicaragua | 3.8 to 3.8 0 | 3.8 to 3.8 0 | 3.5 to 3.5 0 |
 Norway | 1.5 to 1.5 0 | 1.3 to 1.3 0 | 3.3 to 3.2 -0.1 |
 Nauru | 2.1 to 2.1 0 | 2 to 2 0 | 5.5 to 5.7 +0.2 |
 Pakistan | 3.6 to 3.6 0 | 3.5 to 3.5 0 | 7.2 to 7.1 -0.1 |
 Puerto Rico | -0.1 to -0.1 0 | 1 to 1 0 | 2.1 to 3.1 +1 |
 San Marino | 1.3 to 1.3 0 | 1.2 to 1 -0.2 | 2.8 to 2.8 0 |
 Togo | 5 to 5 0 | 5.3 to 5.3 0 | 2.8 to 1.1 -1.7 |
 United States | 2.3 to 2.3 0 | 2.1 to 2.3 +0.2 | 3.2 to 3.6 +0.4 |
 Vanuatu | 3.5 to 3.5 0 | 3.2 to 3.2 0 | 4.1 to 2.8 -1.3 |
 South Africa | 1 to 1 0 | 1.3 to 1.3 0 | 3.9 to 4.4 +0.5 |
 Zimbabwe | 5 to 5 0 | 4.2 to 3.5 -0.7 | 8 to 4 -4 |
 Albania | 3.4 to 3.5 +0.1 | 3.2 to 3.2 0 | 3.4 to 3.2 -0.2 |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.2 to 2.3 +0.1 | 2.7 to 2.6 -0.1 | 4.5 to 5 +0.5 |
 Central African Republic | 2.6 to 2.7 +0.1 | 3 to 3.3 +0.3 | 1.5 to 3.5 +2 |
 China | 4.4 to 4.5 +0.1 | 4 to 4 0 | 1.2 to 1 -0.2 |
 Guatemala | 3.9 to 4 +0.1 | 4 to 3.8 -0.2 | 2.6 to 3 +0.4 |
 Indonesia | 5 to 5.1 +0.1 | 5.1 to 5.1 0 | 3 to 3.3 +0.3 |
 Latvia | 2.2 to 2.3 +0.1 | 2.4 to 1.8 -0.6 | 3 to 3.6 +0.6 |
 Nigeria | 4.1 to 4.2 +0.1 | 4.3 to 4.3 0 | 16 to 15.6 -0.4 |
 Poland | 3.3 to 3.4 +0.1 | 2.4 to 2.5 +0.1 | 3.3 to 3.2 -0.1 |
 Suriname | 3.9 to 4 +0.1 | 4.4 to 4.1 -0.3 | 11.8 to 10.5 -1.3 |
 Tanzania | 5.9 to 6 +0.1 | 6.1 to 5.9 -0.2 | 4 to 4 0 |
 Armenia | 5.3 to 5.5 +0.2 | 5.5 to 5.5 0 | 3.6 to 4.6 +1 |
 Cabo Verde | 4.8 to 5 +0.2 | 5 to 5 0 | 2.2 to 1.2 -1 |
 Ecuador | 2.5 to 2.7 +0.2 | 2.5 to 2.5 0 | 2.9 to 2 -0.9 |
 Hungary | 1.7 to 1.9 +0.2 | 2 to 2.1 +0.1 | 3.8 to 1.9 -1.9 |
 Madagascar | 3.6 to 3.8 +0.2 | 4.1 to 4.5 +0.4 | 8.3 to 8.4 +0.1 |
 Montenegro | 2.8 to 3 +0.2 | 2.7 to 2.8 +0.1 | 3.2 to 3.5 +0.3 |
 Peru | 2.8 to 3 +0.2 | 2.8 to 2.9 +0.1 | 2.5 to 3.8 +1.3 |
 Portugal | 1.9 to 2.1 +0.2 | 1.8 to 1.9 +0.1 | 3.1 to 3.2 +0.1 |
 Rwanda | 7.2 to 7.4 +0.2 | 7.6 to 7.2 -0.4 | 5.6 to 12.3 +6.7 |
 Slovakia | 0.6 to 0.8 +0.2 | 1.6 to 1.6 0 | 4.2 to 3.6 -0.6 |
 Bolivia | -3.3 to -3 +0.3 | not in both rounds | 20.7 to 12.7 -8 |
 Brazil | 1.9 to 2.2 +0.3 | 2 to 1.9 -0.1 | 4 to 4.4 +0.4 |
 Gabon | 2.7 to 3 +0.3 | 2.8 to 2.9 +0.1 | 2.5 to 0.8 -1.7 |
 Italy | 0.5 to 0.8 +0.3 | 0.5 to 0.6 +0.1 | 2.6 to 3.3 +0.7 |
 Macao | 3 to 3.3 +0.3 | 3.1 to 3.1 0 | 1.8 to 1.8 0 |
 Niger | 6.7 to 7 +0.3 | 6.5 to 6.5 0 | 0.4 to -1.9 -2.3 |
 Netherlands | 1.2 to 1.5 +0.3 | 1.4 to 1.3 -0.1 | 2.7 to 2.9 +0.2 |
 Paraguay | 4.2 to 4.5 +0.3 | 3.5 to 4 +0.5 | 3.3 to 3.1 -0.2 |
 Tunisia | 2.1 to 2.4 +0.3 | 1.6 to 2 +0.4 | 6.5 to 5.5 -1 |
 Bahamas | 2.1 to 2.5 +0.4 | 1.9 to 1.9 0 | 1.6 to 3.8 +2.2 |
 Spain | 2.1 to 2.5 +0.4 | 1.8 to 1.8 0 | 3 to 3.7 +0.7 |
 Liberia | 5.1 to 5.5 +0.4 | 5.4 to 5.1 -0.3 | 5.7 to 5.9 +0.2 |
 North Macedonia | 3.1 to 3.5 +0.4 | 3 to 3.2 +0.2 | 4.5 to 4 -0.5 |
 Malawi | 2.2 to 2.6 +0.4 | 2.4 to 2.3 -0.1 | 24.4 to 21.9 -2.5 |
 Germany | 0.8 to 1.3 +0.5 | 1.2 to 1.1 -0.1 | 2.7 to 2.7 0 |
 United Kingdom | 0.8 to 1.3 +0.5 | 1.3 to 1.2 -0.1 | 3.2 to 3.3 +0.1 |
 India | 6.5 to 7 +0.5 | 6.5 to 7 +0.5 | 4.7 to 5 +0.3 |
 Laos | 4 to 4.5 +0.5 | 4 to 4.5 +0.5 | 9.6 to 9.2 -0.4 |
 Malta | 3.7 to 4.2 +0.5 | 3.8 to 4 +0.2 | 2.5 to 2.4 -0.1 |
 Mozambique | 0.5 to 1 +0.5 | 2.7 to 2 -0.7 | 4.4 to 5.6 +1.2 |
 Malaysia | 4.7 to 5.2 +0.5 | 4.3 to 4.6 +0.3 | 1.9 to 2.2 +0.3 |
 Serbia | 2.8 to 3.3 +0.5 | 3.5 to 4 +0.5 | 5.2 to 3.1 -2.1 |
 Sweden | 2 to 2.5 +0.5 | 1.9 to 2.2 +0.3 | 1.5 to 1.1 -0.4 |
 Switzerland | 1.3 to 1.9 +0.6 | 1.3 to 1.2 -0.1 | 0.5 to 0.7 +0.2 |
 Nepal | 3 to 3.6 +0.6 | 4.6 to 3.7 -0.9 | 3.1 to 3.1 0 |
 Oman | 3.5 to 4.1 +0.6 | 3.4 to 2.2 -1.2 | 1.7 to 3.2 +1.5 |
 Thailand | 1.5 to 2.1 +0.6 | 2.1 to 2.1 0 | 0.9 to 2.1 +1.2 |
 Belarus | 1.2 to 1.9 +0.7 | 1 to 1.2 +0.2 | 6.4 to 5.1 -1.3 |
 Republic of the Congo | 2.8 to 3.5 +0.7 | 3.2 to 3.6 +0.4 | 2.8 to 4 +1.2 |
 Estonia | 1.4 to 2.1 +0.7 | 1.9 to 2.2 +0.3 | 3.8 to 3 -0.8 |
 Finland | 1 to 1.7 +0.7 | 1.5 to 1.4 -0.1 | 2.5 to 2.4 -0.1 |
 Micronesia | 0.7 to 1.4 +0.7 | 1.1 to 1.7 +0.6 | 3.2 to 3.2 0 |
 Grenada | 3.1 to 3.9 +0.8 | 3.1 to 3 -0.1 | 1.3 to 1.7 +0.4 |
 Dominican Republic | 3.7 to 4.6 +0.9 | 4.4 to 4.4 0 | 5.1 to 5.1 0 |
 Egypt | 4.2 to 5.1 +0.9 | 4.8 to 4.7 -0.1 | 13.2 to 13.3 +0.1 |
 Ghana | 4.8 to 5.7 +0.9 | 4.9 to 5.2 +0.3 | 5.8 to 4.8 -1 |
 Mongolia | 5.3 to 6.2 +0.9 | 5.3 to 5.9 +0.6 | 7.4 to 11 +3.6 |
 Tuvalu | 2.5 to 3.4 +0.9 | 2.4 to 2.8 +0.4 | 3.1 to 4.3 +1.2 |
 Equatorial Guinea | -2.7 to -1.7 +1 | -1.3 to -1 +0.3 | 3.2 to 3.3 +0.1 |
 Israel | 3.5 to 4.5 +1 | 4.4 to 4.4 0 | 2.3 to 1.8 -0.5 |
 Palau | 3.3 to 4.3 +1 | 2.8 to 2.7 -0.1 | 5.9 to 1.7 -4.2 |
 Venezuela | 4 to 5 +1 | 6 to 7 +1 | 387.4 to 467.9 +80.5 |
 Jamaica | -1.2 to 0 +1.2 | 3.1 to 2.4 -0.7 | 6.1 to 5.9 -0.2 |
 Panama | 3.8 to 5 +1.2 | 4.5 to 4.2 -0.3 | 1.4 to 1.8 +0.4 |
 El Salvador | 3.3 to 4.5 +1.2 | 3 to 4 +1 | 2.5 to 2.7 +0.2 |
 Slovenia | 2 to 3.2 +1.2 | 2.1 to 2.2 +0.1 | 2.9 to 3.5 +0.6 |
 Tajikistan | 6 to 7.3 +1.3 | 4.8 to 6.8 +2 | 4 to 4.1 +0.1 |
 Uzbekistan | 6.5 to 7.8 +1.3 | 5.9 to 6.5 +0.6 | 7 to 6.9 -0.1 |
 Vietnam | 7.1 to 8.4 +1.3 | 6.7 to 7.5 +0.8 | 4.9 to 4.7 -0.2 |
 Zambia | 4.3 to 5.6 +1.3 | 4.7 to 4.9 +0.2 | 9 to 8 -1 |
 Aruba | 2.3 to 3.7 +1.4 | 2 to 2.7 +0.7 | 1.2 to 1.8 +0.6 |
 Hong Kong | 2.4 to 3.8 +1.4 | 2.4 to 2.8 +0.4 | 2.1 to 1.9 -0.2 |
 South Korea | 1.9 to 3.3 +1.4 | 2.1 to 2.8 +0.7 | 2.5 to 2.7 +0.2 |
 Liechtenstein | -0.4 to 1 +1.4 | 0.4 to 1 +0.6 | 0.5 to 0.7 +0.2 |
 Singapore | 3.5 to 5 +1.5 | 2.7 to 3 +0.3 | 2.3 to 2.3 0 |
 Denmark | 2 to 3.7 +1.7 | 1.6 to 2 +0.4 | 2 to 1.8 -0.2 |
 Georgia | 5.3 to 7.2 +1.9 | 5 to 5.7 +0.7 | 4.4 to 5.4 +1 |
 Angola | 2.3 to 4.4 +2.1 | 2.6 to 3.3 +0.7 | 12.9 to 10.6 -2.3 |
 Kyrgyzstan | 6.1 to 9 +2.9 | 6.1 to 7 +0.9 | 10.6 to 12.7 +2.1 |
 Guyana | 16.2 to 22.3 +6.1 | 19.7 to 16.8 -2.9 | 4.1 to 4.1 0 |
 Sudan | 0.7 to 7 +6.3 | 8.1 to 15 +6.9 | 75.1 to 41.3 -33.8 |
 South Sudan | 4.1 to 10.5 +6.4 | 3.3 to 3.9 +0.6 | 14 to 27.6 +13.6 |
How this is measured
Each figure is the IMF's own published forecast as it stood in that World Economic Outlook round. A change is the October 2026 forecast minus the April 2026 forecast for the same country and year, in percentage points (pp). A country appears only where both rounds carry a value, so the country counts differ a little between columns.
The IMF also publishes shorter updates in January and July that revise a subset of economies. This page compares full publication rounds only. It records what the IMF changed, not whether the new forecast is more accurate.
How any country's forecast has moved across every stored round since it was first made: forecast revisions by country. The IMF alongside the OECD, World Bank and Federal Reserve: consensus forecasts. The same data is available through the API. Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, archived publication rounds.