Forecasts › Official consensus
Official Consensus Forecasts
What the world's official forecasters expect — the IMF WEO, OECD EO, World Bank GEP, Fed SEP — shown side by side with the median and range for each country. Unlike a single black-box model, every number here is a named institution's published projection, dated and linked to its source. Compare with the full IMF WEO series.
Latest forecast round retrieved 2026-08-03.
| Country | IMF | OECD | WB | FED | Median | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GUYGuyana | 19.7% | — | — | — | 19.7% | 1 src |
 IRQIraq | 11.3% | — | — | — | 11.3% | 1 src |
 GINGuinea | 9.3% | — | — | — | 9.3% | 1 src |
 QATQatar | 8.6% | — | — | — | 8.6% | 1 src |
 UGAUganda | 8.2% | — | — | — | 8.2% | 1 src |
 SDNSudan | 8.1% | — | — | — | 8.1% | 1 src |
 ETHEthiopia | 7.9% | — | — | — | 7.9% | 1 src |
 RWARwanda | 7.6% | — | — | — | 7.6% | 1 src |
 VNMViet Nam | 6.7% | — | — | — | 6.7% | 1 src |
 BENBenin | 6.7% | — | — | — | 6.7% | 1 src |
 NERNiger | 6.5% | — | — | — | 6.5% | 1 src |
 INDIndia | 6.5% | 6.4% | — | — | 6.5% | 6.4–6.5 |
 BTNBhutan | 6.3% | — | — | — | 6.3% | 1 src |
 CIVCote d'Ivoire | 6.3% | — | — | — | 6.3% | 1 src |
 KGZKyrgyz Republic | 6.1% | — | — | — | 6.1% | 1 src |
 TZATanzania | 6.1% | — | — | — | 6.1% | 1 src |
 VENVenezuela, RB | 6.0% | — | — | — | 6.0% | 1 src |
 DJIDjibouti | 6.0% | — | — | — | 6.0% | 1 src |
 UZBUzbekistan | 5.9% | — | — | — | 5.9% | 1 src |
 PHLPhilippines | 5.8% | — | — | — | 5.8% | 1 src |
 MLIMali | 5.7% | — | — | — | 5.7% | 1 src |
 ARMArmenia | 5.5% | — | — | — | 5.5% | 1 src |
 CODCongo, Dem. Rep. | 5.4% | — | — | — | 5.4% | 1 src |
 LBRLiberia | 5.4% | — | — | — | 5.4% | 1 src |
 TGOTogo | 5.3% | — | — | — | 5.3% | 1 src |
 AREUnited Arab Emirates | 5.3% | — | — | — | 5.3% | 1 src |
 MNGMongolia | 5.3% | — | — | — | 5.3% | 1 src |
 IDNIndonesia | 5.1% | 5.0% | — | — | 5.0% | 5.0–5.1 |
 ISRIsrael | 4.4% | 5.6% | — | — | 5.0% | 4.4–5.6 |
 GMBGambia, The | 5.0% | — | — | — | 5.0% | 1 src |
 CPVCabo Verde | 5.0% | — | — | — | 5.0% | 1 src |
 GEOGeorgia | 5.0% | — | — | — | 5.0% | 1 src |
 TCDChad | 4.9% | — | — | — | 4.9% | 1 src |
 GHAGhana | 4.9% | — | — | — | 4.9% | 1 src |
 GNBGuinea-Bissau | 4.9% | — | — | — | 4.9% | 1 src |
 BFABurkina Faso | 4.8% | — | — | — | 4.8% | 1 src |
 EGYEgypt, Arab Rep. | 4.8% | — | — | — | 4.8% | 1 src |
 TJKTajikistan | 4.8% | — | — | — | 4.8% | 1 src |
 ZMBZambia | 4.7% | — | — | — | 4.7% | 1 src |
 KHMCambodia | 4.7% | — | — | — | 4.7% | 1 src |
 KENKenya | 4.7% | — | — | — | 4.7% | 1 src |
 SLESierra Leone | 4.7% | — | — | — | 4.7% | 1 src |
 MDVMaldives | 4.6% | — | — | — | 4.6% | 1 src |
 NPLNepal | 4.6% | — | — | — | 4.6% | 1 src |
 BHRBahrain | 4.5% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 1 src |
 LBYLibya | 4.5% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 1 src |
 MRTMauritania | 4.5% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 1 src |
 MARMorocco | 4.5% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 1 src |
 PANPanama | 4.5% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 1 src |
 SAUSaudi Arabia | 4.5% | 4.3% | — | — | 4.4% | 4.3–4.5 |
 DOMDominican Republic | 4.4% | — | — | — | 4.4% | 1 src |
 KAZKazakhstan | 4.4% | — | — | — | 4.4% | 1 src |
 SURSuriname | 4.4% | — | — | — | 4.4% | 1 src |
 BGDBangladesh | 4.3% | — | — | — | 4.3% | 1 src |
 MYSMalaysia | 4.3% | — | — | — | 4.3% | 1 src |
 NGANigeria | 4.3% | — | — | — | 4.3% | 1 src |
 ZWEZimbabwe | 4.2% | — | — | — | 4.2% | 1 src |
 BDIBurundi | 4.2% | — | — | — | 4.2% | 1 src |
 CHNChina | 4.0% | 4.3% | — | — | 4.1% | 4.0–4.3 |
 COMComoros | 4.1% | — | — | — | 4.1% | 1 src |
 MDGMadagascar | 4.1% | — | — | — | 4.1% | 1 src |
 GTMGuatemala | 4.0% | — | — | — | 4.0% | 1 src |
 LAOLao PDR | 4.0% | — | — | — | 4.0% | 1 src |
 SYCSeychelles | 4.0% | — | — | — | 4.0% | 1 src |
 STPSao Tome and Principe | 3.9% | — | — | — | 3.9% | 1 src |
 CMRCameroon | 3.8% | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1 src |
 TLSTimor-Leste | 3.8% | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1 src |
 MLTMalta | 3.8% | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1 src |
 NICNicaragua | 3.8% | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1 src |
 PNGPapua New Guinea | 3.8% | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1 src |
 ARGArgentina | 4.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 3.7% | 3.5–4.0 |
 HNDHonduras | 3.7% | — | — | — | 3.7% | 1 src |
| DAEDAE | — | 3.7% | — | — | 3.7% | 1 src |
 TURTurkiye | 3.5% | 3.8% | — | — | 3.7% | 3.5–3.8 |
 CRICosta Rica | 3.6% | 3.4% | — | — | 3.5% | 3.4–3.6 |
 UKRUkraine | 3.5% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 1 src |
 SWZEswatini | 3.5% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 1 src |
 PAKPakistan | 3.5% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 1 src |
 PRYParaguay | 3.5% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 1 src |
 SRBSerbia | 3.5% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 1 src |
 MUSMauritius | 3.4% | — | — | — | 3.4% | 1 src |
 OMNOman | 3.4% | — | — | — | 3.4% | 1 src |
 SSDSouth Sudan | 3.3% | — | — | — | 3.3% | 1 src |
 VUTVanuatu | 3.2% | — | — | — | 3.2% | 1 src |
 ALBAlbania | 3.2% | — | — | — | 3.2% | 1 src |
 IRNIran, Islamic Rep. | 3.2% | — | — | — | 3.2% | 1 src |
 MDAMoldova | 3.2% | — | — | — | 3.2% | 1 src |
 COGCongo, Rep. | 3.2% | — | — | — | 3.2% | 1 src |
 GRDGrenada | 3.1% | — | — | — | 3.1% | 1 src |
 JAMJamaica | 3.1% | — | — | — | 3.1% | 1 src |
 JORJordan | 3.1% | — | — | — | 3.1% | 1 src |
 MACMacao SAR, China | 3.1% | — | — | — | 3.1% | 1 src |
 SOMSomalia, Fed. Rep. | 3.1% | — | — | — | 3.1% | 1 src |
 TTOTrinidad and Tobago | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 CAFCentral African Republic | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 CYPCyprus | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 SLVEl Salvador | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 MMRMyanmar | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 MKDNorth Macedonia | 3.0% | — | — | — | 3.0% | 1 src |
 DZAAlgeria | 2.9% | — | — | — | 2.9% | 1 src |
 SLBSolomon Islands | 2.9% | — | — | — | 2.9% | 1 src |
 PERPeru | 2.8% | 2.9% | — | — | 2.8% | 2.8–2.9 |
 DMADominica | 2.8% | — | — | — | 2.8% | 1 src |
 GABGabon | 2.8% | — | — | — | 2.8% | 1 src |
 KWTKuwait | 2.8% | — | — | — | 2.8% | 1 src |
 PLWPalau | 2.8% | — | — | — | 2.8% | 1 src |
 WSMSamoa | 2.8% | — | — | — | 2.8% | 1 src |
 BIHBosnia and Herzegovina | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 FJIFiji | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 MNEMontenegro | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 MOZMozambique | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 NAMNamibia | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 SGPSingapore | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 VCTSt. Vincent and the Grenadines | 2.7% | — | — | — | 2.7% | 1 src |
 IRLIreland | 2.4% | 2.9% | — | — | 2.7% | 2.4–2.9 |
 URYUruguay | 2.6% | — | — | — | 2.6% | 1 src |
 AGOAngola | 2.6% | — | — | — | 2.6% | 1 src |
 BRNBrunei Darussalam | 2.6% | — | — | — | 2.6% | 1 src |
 CHLChile | 2.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 2.5% | 2.5–2.6 |
 ROURomania | 2.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 2.5% | 2.5–2.5 |
 POLPoland | 2.4% | 2.6% | — | — | 2.5% | 2.4–2.6 |
 AZEAzerbaijan | 2.5% | — | — | — | 2.5% | 1 src |
 ECUEcuador | 2.5% | — | — | — | 2.5% | 1 src |
 KNASt. Kitts and Nevis | 2.5% | — | — | — | 2.5% | 1 src |
 HRVCroatia | 2.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 2.5% | 2.4–2.6 |
 TUVTuvalu | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.4% | 1 src |
 ATGAntigua and Barbuda | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.4% | 1 src |
 HKGHong Kong SAR, China | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.4% | 1 src |
 KIRKiribati | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.4% | 1 src |
 MWIMalawi | 2.4% | — | — | — | 2.4% | 1 src |
 BGRBulgaria | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 2.4% | 2.3–2.5 |
 LVALatvia | 2.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 2.3% | 2.2–2.4 |
 NZLNew Zealand | 2.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 2.3% | 2.2–2.4 |
 ESTEstonia | 1.9% | 2.7% | — | — | 2.3% | 1.9–2.7 |
 SENSenegal | 2.3% | — | — | — | 2.3% | 1 src |
 COLColombia | 2.5% | 2.1% | — | — | 2.3% | 2.1–2.5 |
 SWESweden | 1.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 2.2% | 1.9–2.5 |
 BRBBarbados | 2.2% | — | — | — | 2.2% | 1 src |
 BWABotswana | 2.2% | — | — | — | 2.2% | 1 src |
 SVNSlovenia | 2.1% | 2.2% | — | — | 2.2% | 2.1–2.2 |
 CZECzechia | 2.2% | 2.1% | — | — | 2.2% | 2.1–2.2 |
 ISLIceland | 2.1% | 2.2% | — | — | 2.2% | 2.1–2.2 |
 THAThailand | 2.1% | 2.1% | — | — | 2.1% | 2.1–2.1 |
 USAUnited States | 2.1% | 1.8% | — | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8–2.3 |
 BLZBelize | 2.1% | — | — | — | 2.1% | 1 src |
 LTULithuania | 2.2% | 2.0% | — | — | 2.1% | 2.0–2.2 |
 BRABrazil | 2.0% | 2.1% | — | — | 2.0% | 2.0–2.1 |
 KORKorea, Rep. | 2.1% | 1.9% | — | — | 2.0% | 1.9–2.1 |
 TKMTurkmenistan | 2.0% | — | — | — | 2.0% | 1 src |
 ABWAruba | 2.0% | — | — | — | 2.0% | 1 src |
 MHLMarshall Islands | 2.0% | — | — | — | 2.0% | 1 src |
 NRUNaoero | 2.0% | — | — | — | 2.0% | 1 src |
 MEXMexico | 2.2% | 1.8% | — | — | 2.0% | 1.8–2.2 |
 HUNHungary | 2.0% | 2.0% | — | — | 2.0% | 2.0–2.0 |
 BHSBahamas, The | 1.9% | — | — | — | 1.9% | 1 src |
 GRCGreece | 1.7% | 2.0% | — | — | 1.9% | 1.7–2.0 |
 ANDAndorra | 1.8% | — | — | — | 1.8% | 1 src |
 CANCanada | 1.9% | 1.7% | — | — | 1.8% | 1.7–1.9 |
 PRTPortugal | 1.8% | 1.7% | — | — | 1.8% | 1.7–1.8 |
 AUSAustralia | 1.7% | 1.8% | — | — | 1.8% | 1.7–1.8 |
 ESPSpain | 1.8% | 1.7% | — | — | 1.7% | 1.7–1.8 |
 LCASt. Lucia | 1.7% | — | — | — | 1.7% | 1 src |
 TUNTunisia | 1.6% | — | — | — | 1.6% | 1 src |
 SVKSlovak Republic | 1.6% | 1.6% | — | — | 1.6% | 1.6–1.6 |
 DNKDenmark | 1.6% | 1.5% | — | — | 1.5% | 1.5–1.6 |
 YEMYemen, Rep. | 1.5% | — | — | — | 1.5% | 1 src |
 LUXLuxembourg | 1.7% | 1.3% | — | — | 1.5% | 1.3–1.7 |
 ZAFSouth Africa | 1.3% | 1.6% | — | — | 1.4% | 1.3–1.6 |
 NLDNetherlands | 1.4% | 1.4% | — | — | 1.4% | 1.4–1.4 |
 CHESwitzerland | 1.3% | 1.5% | — | — | 1.4% | 1.3–1.5 |
 FINFinland | 1.5% | 1.2% | — | — | 1.3% | 1.2–1.5 |
 TONTonga | 1.3% | — | — | — | 1.3% | 1 src |
 NORNorway | 1.3% | 1.2% | — | — | 1.2% | 1.2–1.3 |
 SMRSan Marino | 1.2% | — | — | — | 1.2% | 1 src |
 GBRUnited Kingdom | 1.3% | 1.1% | — | — | 1.2% | 1.1–1.3 |
 DEUGermany | 1.2% | 1.1% | — | — | 1.2% | 1.1–1.2 |
 FSMMicronesia, Fed. Sts. | 1.1% | — | — | — | 1.1% | 1 src |
 BELBelgium | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | — | 1.1% | 1.1–1.1 |
 AUTAustria | 1.0% | 1.1% | — | — | 1.1% | 1.0–1.1 |
 BLRBelarus | 1.0% | — | — | — | 1.0% | 1 src |
 PRIPuerto Rico (US) | 1.0% | — | — | — | 1.0% | 1 src |
 RUSRussian Federation | 1.1% | 0.8% | — | — | 1.0% | 0.8–1.1 |
 FRAFrance | 0.9% | 0.8% | — | — | 0.9% | 0.8–0.9 |
 LSOLesotho | 0.8% | — | — | — | 0.8% | 1 src |
 JPNJapan | 0.6% | 0.8% | — | — | 0.7% | 0.6–0.8 |
 ITAItaly | 0.5% | 0.6% | — | — | 0.5% | 0.5–0.6 |
 HTIHaiti | 0.5% | — | — | — | 0.5% | 1 src |
 LIELiechtenstein | 0.4% | — | — | — | 0.4% | 1 src |
 GNQEquatorial Guinea | -1.3% | — | — | — | -1.3% | 1 src |
Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook, OECD Economic Outlook (CC BY 4.0), World Bank Global Economic Prospects (CC BY 4.0), and the U.S. Federal Reserve Summary of Economic Projections (FOMC medians, US public domain). The median and range are computed by SOTW across the available sources. Forecasts are the institutions' own projections, not guarantees. The Fed's figures cover the United States only.