Malawi · Estimated Malaria Incidence (WHO)

294.52024

Unit: cases per 1,000 population at risk per year. Publisher measure: Estimated malaria incidence (per 1000 population at risk).

Estimated new malaria cases per 1,000 population at risk per year. Population at risk means people living where malaria transmission occurs, not the whole national population. WHO adjusts surveillance for care-seeking, reporting and case confirmation and uses prevalence-based modelling where appropriate.

Measurement basis: WHO estimates from adjusted malaria surveillance and prevalence-based models, with a population-at-risk denominator.

Reference-period cadence: annual.

Source update cadence: annual. This does not establish a publication date for an individual reading.

  • Estimated new malaria cases per 1,000 population at risk per year. The denominator is people living in areas with malaria transmission, not the whole national population.
  • The exact WHO incidence definition identifies supplied bracketed ranges as 95% uncertainty intervals. This applies only to this incidence series; missing endpoints stay absent and no uncertainty level is borrowed for malaria deaths.
  • Positive estimates can have publisher display 0. Preserve original numeric precision and genuine source zeros separately; a rounded display is not a less-than threshold or an exact zero.
  • Source-country histories have real gaps and different latest years. Keep unreported years unreported; calendar tags do not justify filling them, carrying forward a value or borrowing a legacy reading.
  • French Guiana (GUF) and Mayotte (MYT) remain separate raw source geographies excluded from app rows without remapping. Source Date does not establish an official observation publication vintage.

Displayed values are rounded, with extra precision when needed to keep a positive estimate positive. Downloads retain the full numeric estimate and the publisher's original display text separately.

A “<” sign means strictly below the stated number. Numeric readings and uncertainty endpoints keep their own comparison signs. A number without a sign does not establish certainty or an observed outcome.

World Health Organization (Global Malaria Programme); retrieved 2026-09-08. Retrieval time is separate from an official publisher release vintage.

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One row per country, indicator and year, with raw values, source links and reuse notices. Thresholds have an empty numeric value and separate number/operator fields; value_kind distinguishes upper bounds from absent readings.

History and uncertainty

Charts plot numeric readings. Reported upper bounds create gaps; their values, uncertainty endpoints and source notes remain available in the table and downloads.

Reported estimates and uncertainty · 25 rows

Each comparison sign applies to its own reading or uncertainty endpoint. Values retain source precision. “Not reported” identifies an absent reading or uncertainty endpoint in this source capture.

Reported estimates and independently qualified uncertainty endpoints
CountryYearReadingLower endpointUpper endpointPublisher note
Malawi2000452.5497745345.5767514584.2769033
Malawi2001464.4756371368.9915357577.5013482
Malawi2002439.5542589351.9237145541.5938172
Malawi2003404.3123655323.5239428496.7776229
Malawi2004376.5224402300.0060556465.2235824
Malawi2005373.6485527295.8926092460.1105383
Malawi2006359.1515831285.0995477446.444826
Malawi2007348.7644648274.187202434.8650259
Malawi2008359.3578383282.9810262450.1536016
Malawi2009377.5624509301.340043463.7091853
Malawi2010389.8138079314.8456834476.9122683
Malawi2011395.2465971318.7805691484.1447182
Malawi2012354.9587618279.9155127443.3748471
Malawi2013306.1345523234.4325792397.3604821
Malawi2014275.0492764205.0661843359.2903752
Malawi2015260.8760238198.3785602335.6967425
Malawi2016260.9226051199.7808687337.0372148
Malawi2017264.4414837202.7276013340.5307207
Malawi2018270.9531009195.9733768363.1691579
Malawi2019280.2880012185.0099394404.4764709
Malawi2020283.0146401185.2744067409.8895115
Malawi2021280.4884339193.8231852395.2495848
Malawi2022285.5038484200.3636734395.0983345
Malawi2023291.0135392198.8099578409.2992036
Malawi2024294.5279965191.2981685431.3356252

One row per country, indicator and year, with raw values, source links and reuse notices. Thresholds have an empty numeric value and separate number/operator fields; value_kind distinguishes upper bounds from absent readings.